Police: Manila casino attacker an indebted gambler; terror analyst: extra questions want answers

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JEDDAHMANILA: An armed man who killed 37 individuals when he set fireplace to a casino in the Philippine capital become a father-of-three from Manila stimulated by using heavy playing accounts and not terrorism, authorities referred to Sunday.The identification of the attacker as Jessie Javier Carlos, a Catholic, proves that claims of responsibility by means of Daesh for Friday’s assault have been false, President Rodrigo Duterte and police talked about.“i would call him a recurring gambler. He lost every little thing in his existence and have become crazy. He misplaced his mind. He vented his anger in the course of the incident,” Duterte advised journalists on Sunday. “It’s not terrorism.”

extra questions that answersBut Baker Atyani, a veteran daftar poker Saudi-based journalist who has coated militant businesses for two many years, turned into amongst folks that insisted that the gunman changed into a Daesh foot soldier.He additionally said the claim made through Daesh via its Amaq news agency during which it named the attacker as Abul Kheir Al-Arkhebieli.Atyani spoke to Arab news on Sunday after the reputable disclosure by the Philippine government that the attacker was not regarding Daesh.“yes, I noticed and browse the particulars within the media,” observed Atyani. “in reality, they stated he turned into fired from his job in 2014. What we should be aware of now could be the place he became from 2014 until the time of the attack.”Atyani mentioned he was a close follower of propaganda despatched via militant companies and he does not keep in mind any time when claims made by Daesh became out to be unfaithful.“the entire claims made via Amaq news company were accurate,” said Atyani.“The different crucial statement is the way the man become equipped and the way he moved, as considered in the footage that turned into made obtainable. He doesn’t appear to be a regular person; he feels like an expert fighter who brought about 37 deaths. He seemed smartly-educated.”Rohan Gunaratna, a safety professional at Singapore’s S. Rajaratnam college of foreign experiences, commented: “The key is to examine if the attacker became recruited by Daesh — this could be typical in the coming days.”good boy destroyed by means of playing addictionManila police chief Oscar Albayalde pointed out Carlos, forty three, had three children and had been banned from all casinos in April via the Philippine entertainment and Gaming service provider Pagcor following a request from his family on account of his playing addiction.“he is heavily indebted due to being hooked to casino gambling. This grew to become the cause of misunderstanding along with his wife and oldsters,” Albayalde observed as he sat alongside Carlos’s fogeys and wife at a press convention saying the gunman’s id.“He turned into barred by using Pagcor from all casinos as a result of the request of next of kin. This might have probably prompted him. That’s why he become so mad at casinos.”Carlos walked into the lodges World casino and resort complicated in Manila on Friday with an M4 computerized rifle and a bottle of petrol, earlier than environment alight a number of distinctive rooms in the complex, in response to police bills.Thirty-seven individuals died within the fires, dozens extra have been injured in a stampede to get away, and Carlos turned into found lifeless about 5 hours later in a resort room after committing suicide by surroundings fire to himself, police had said.safety film of the incident released on Saturday confirmed the gunman calmly and slowly jogging in the course of the on line casino and firing into the air most of the time, curiously as warning pictures for people to go away.At one factor he fired at protection guards when they confronted him, but overlooked. After they ran away, he calmly walked up some stairs.The video also showed him breaking into a cozy room the place chips and money have been being kept, interestingly intent on stealing what he may.Carlos set alight many playing tables in what police referred to turned into doubtless an try to create a diversion so he might get away.At Sunday’s press conference, Carlos’s tearful mom said he had been a great man who committed the violence on account of his playing dependancy.“We express regret. My son changed into a great child to us. but considering that he began taking part in at the casinos, that’s all he did. He didn’t seek advice from us. It was painful for us not to see him,” said his mother, Teodora Carlos.Albayalde observed the “excessive-roller” Carlos had worked in the department of Finance however had been sacked because he had lied on reliable types about unexplained belongings and houses.The branch mentioned Sunday that Carlos become sacked as a tax professional in 2014 for no longer declaring homes and for taking mysterious loans way over a bank would lend.ities had again and again insisted on Friday and Saturday the attack became no longer terrorism-related, just a bizarre theft attempt with the aid of a deranged man.but Daesh claimed responsibility, with a record on its news company.Duterte has again and again warned that Daesh is gaining a enhanced foothold in the Philippines.these issues escalated when militants flying black Daesh flags rampaged through the Philippines’ main Islamic metropolis within the south pretty much two weeks in the past, triggering clashes that are still continuing and have left roughly 200 individuals useless.Duterte declared martial law within the south of the Philippines on may 23 in a bid to quash the rising Daesh threat, and said he was prepared to impose armed forces rule nationwide if terrorism unfold.After making a choice on Carlos because the attacker on Sunday, police chief Albayalde repeatedly sought to discredit Daesh.“we will not allow individuals or any risk community to make use of this situation to improve their propaganda or very own factors, no matter if international or local,” Albayalde observed.In his feedback to Arab information, terror analyst Gunaratna also stated: “military-grade weapons and device had been used by means of Daesh in Marawi. sophisticated organization and meticulous practise went into planning the siege of Marawi. dash will overrun other cities and cities until it is degraded.”

 

Saudi Prince lost greater than $350 mn, five better halves in gambling at Egypt’s on line casino…really!

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Saudi Arabia’s determined Gamble

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livid over defeat in Syria, Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince is gambling again, arresting rivals at domestic and scary a political disaster in Lebanon, however he may additionally lack the geopolitical chips to tug off his guess, says ex-British diplomat Alastair Crooke.

by Alastair Crooke

it is at all times tempting. The Syrian war is coming to an end, and the losses to those that guess on the dropping facet – all at once within the glare of the conclusion-game – turn into an acute and public embarrassment. The temptation is to brush the losses poker online apart and with a reveal of bravado make one final guess: the masculine “hero” hazards his home and its contents on a latest spin of the wheel. these in attendance stand in awed silence, waiting for the wheel to gradual, and to trickle the ball forward, slot by using slot, and to look at where it involves relaxation, be it on black, or on the blood-pink of tragedy.

President Donald Trump and First woman Melania Trump be a part of Saudi King Salman and Egyptian President Abdel Fattah Al Sisi, may additionally 21, 2017, to participate within the inaugural opening of the global core for Combating Extremist Ideology. official White apartment photo by way of Shealah Craighead

now not best in romances, but in existence, too. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman MbS has wagered all on black, together with his “friends” – President Trump’s son-in-legislation Jared Kushner, Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed MbZ and Trump himself daring MbS on. Trump, in his enterprise lifestyles, a few times has staked his future on the spin of the wheel. He too has gambled and admits to the excitement.

And in the shadows, at the back of the gaming room, stands Israeli best Minister Bibi Netanyahu. The concept of going to the casino was his, in the first vicinity. If the hero lands on black, he’ll share in the joy, but when it’s pink … never intellect: Bibi’s house is no longer forfeit.

allow us to be clear, MbS is severing all of the numerous fetters that grasp the Saudi kingdom collectively and intact. Saudi Arabia is not only a family business: it is also a confederation of tribes. Their distinctive hobbies have been attended to, primordially, during the composition of the national protect, and its patronage. The latter henceforth reflects, no longer, the dominion’s distinct tribal affiliations, however the safety hobbies of one man, who has seized it for himself.

Ditto for the a lot of cadet branches of the al-Saud family: the cautiously judged sharing out of spoils amongst the various household claimants is complete. One man is clearing the table of everybody’s smaller stakes. He has snapped the wires connecting the court to the Saudi enterprise élite – and is slowly reducing away the Wahhabi religious establishment, too. they’ve been quite simply kicked out of the partnership, which they founded collectively with ibn Saud, the first monarch of Saudi Arabia who dominated during the first half of the closing century, also known as King Abdul Aziz. in short, no one has a stake left during this business, but MbS – and no person it seems, has rights, or redress.

Why? because MbS sees the Saudi political and religious management of the Arab world slipping, like sand, during the king’s fingers, and he can not undergo the notion that Iran and the despised Shi’a, may well be the heir.

transforming Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia, for this reason, must be converted from a sleepy, declining kingdom, into an instrument for blunting Iranian power. This, naturally resonates with an American President who appears, too, further and further preoccupied with reasserting U.S. status, deterrence and power in the world in place of adhering to the non-interventionist sage of the campaign. on the American Conservative’s conference in Washington ultimate week, editor Robert Merry, a staunch realist and prolific writer, mourned that: “There isn’t any realism and restraint in American foreign coverage in the Trump period.”

Saudi protection minister, Prince Mohammad bin Salman Al Saud

All wars are costly, and money is needed and is being seized hence through MbS’s arrest of his rivals on corruption expenses. but Saudi Arabia historically considering the Eighteenth Century, has waged all its energy struggles by the use of one selected and valuable tool: fired-up Wahhabi jihadism. And that, within the wake of the Syrian debacle, lies discredited, and now not obtainable.

So now, Saudi Arabia has to craft a new instrument, with which to confront Iran: and the Crown Prince’s choice is truly ironic: “moderate Islam” and Arab nationalism to counter non-Arab Iran and Turkey.  Mohammad Abd-el Wahhab have to be handing over his grave: “average” Islam in his rigorous doctrine, led simplest to idolatry similar to that practiced by means of the Ottomans, and which, in his view, may still be punished by means of loss of life see here.

in reality, here is the riskier a part of MbS’s gamble notwithstanding seizing Prince Walid bin Talal’s mammoth fortune has grabbed most consideration. King Abdel Aziz confronted armed revolt, and one more king changed into assassinated for departing from the Wahhabist concepts on which the state changed into founded – and for embracing westernized modernity seen by way of pure Wahhabis as idolatry.

The gene of Wahhabist fervor can’t be exorcised from Saudi society by effortlessly commanding it long past.  Abdul Aziz ultimately handiest overcame it, by using machine gunning its adherents, useless.

but, embracing “moderate Islam” i.e. secular Islam, and perilous to confront Iran, doubtless was performed with one eye on wooing President Trump to support MbS’s ousting of his cousin, Prince Naif, as Crown Prince – and the other eye on the P.R. potential to painting Iran as “extremist” Islam to a White condo whose world view of the middle East has been shaped through Bibi Netanyahu whispering within the ear of Jared Kushner, and by means of the prejudices of a circle of advisers disposed to peer Iran in terms of one singular figuring out, instead of in its diverse features. Netanyahu need to be congratulating himself on his clever ploy.

Netanyahu’s Coup

little doubt about it: it has been a coup for Netanyahu. The query notwithstanding, is whether or not it’s going to grow to be a Pyrrhic victory, or no longer: whichever it is, it’s highly contemptible to throw grenades into flamable fabric. This U.S.-Israeli-Saudi-UAE task is, at bottom, an attempt to overturn truth, no less – it’s rooted in a denial of the setback suffered by these states by their diverse failures to shape a new center East within the Western mode. Now, within the wake of their failure in Syria – in which they went to the limits seeking victory – they are searching for one other spin of the roulette wheel – in the hope of recouping all their previous losses. it’s, to claim the least, a capricious hope.

President Donald J. Trump and prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel at the United countries time-honored meeting respectable White condominium picture by means of Shealah Craighead

On the one hand, Iran’s electricity throughout the northern core East isn’t tentative. it is now smartly rooted. Iran’s “strategic house” contains Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, Yemen – and more and more – Turkey.  Iran has played an enormous function in defeating ISIS, in conjunction with Russia. it’s a “strategic accomplice” of Russia, while Russia now enjoys large sway throughout the vicinity. In a notice, the political heft lies with the north, instead of with the weakened, southern tier.

If there be some notion that Russia could be brought about to “rein in” Iran and its allies across the region to mollify Israeli issues, this smacks of wishful considering. despite the fact that Russia may and it probably can not, why should still it? How then will Iran be rolled-again? by militia action? This, too, looks a stretch.

Israel’s armed forces and security echelon, in the wake of the 2006 warfare on Lebanon, is likely simplest to think about a war with any individual other than Palestinians, that is short six days or much less; doesn’t influence in heavy Israeli civilian or military casualties; and may be received at a most economical. Ideally, Israel would also expect full American purchase-in not like in 2006. The Pentagon has little urge for food for placing boots on the ground again in the middle East, and Israelis are aware of this. And Saudi Arabia alone, can not threaten anyone militarily as Yemen has amply verified.

Can Saudi Arabia squeeze Lebanon economically and impose political drive on any Lebanese government? Of path: however financial force probably will damage the Sunni, middle and company classes, harder than the 44 p.c of the Lebanese population who’re Shi’a.  generally, the Lebanese have an aversion to exterior interference, and American sanctions and pressures could be extra prone to unite Lebanon than divide it. here is the historic, ancient account of imposed sanctions. And at a bet, the Europeans will neither willingly support the de-stabilization of Lebanon nor the abandonment of JCPOA, the 2015 settlement to stay away from Iran from developing nuclear weapons.

So what could be the outcome? At a bet, Saudi Arabia, already a society with many repressed tensions, may also effectively implode under the new repression or MbS might by hook or by crook be “removed” earlier than the tensions combust. the us and Israel will now not emerge reinforced, but rather should be considered as much less important to the center East.

Robert Malley, the former middle East adviser within the final administration, warns of the danger of a potential regional explosion: “concern is the one aspect combating it—but may also precipitate it.”

Alastair Crooke is a former British diplomat who become a senior figure in British intelligence and in European Union diplomacy. he’s the founder and director of the Conflicts discussion board.

The success of the Gambler

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we all understand the photo from the books and the videos: a gambler sits at the roulette table in a casino. He has luck. lots of luck.

In front of the gambler the pile of chips is growing to be. better and higher. each spin of the roulette wheel provides to the heap.

When the heap reaches the degree of his eyes, he may just arise, exchange the chips for money and go domestic. He winnings are sufficient to retain him in luxury daftar poker for the leisure of his life.

but the man can not arise. simply can not. he’s glued to his vicinity on the roulette table. after which his good fortune abandons him. The heap of chips starts to cut back.

He might nonetheless stand up and keep a part of his winnings. however he can’t. he is glued to his seat. unless he loses the last chip.

within the motion pictures, the person gets up and places a pistol to his head.

Binyamin Netanyahu resembles this man. He has luck. loads of good fortune. it is uncanny.

The total country sees the success. His recognition rises to the heavens.

The economic climate is prospering. there is essentially no unemployment. further and further Israeli startup businesses are being bought overseas for astronomical sums.

within the international sphere, Israel marches from victory to victory. The president of the world’s most important country behaves as if he have been Bibi’s abject slave. the USA has identified undivided Jerusalem as the capital of better Israel. The switch of the American embassy there became right into a country wide pageant, on the equal day as a further festival took vicinity in Tel Aviv, an outburst of familiar joy over Israel’s triumph on the Eurovision music contest. The masses are overcome, as if it was a victory in warfare.

the area press mentions Trump, Putin, and Netanyahu within the equal breath. Three giants.

internal Israel, Netanyahu has unlimited vigour. Emperor Bibi and his spouse seem like a royal pair.

He has no rivals. every possible competitor turned into purged from the ruling celebration long in the past. The closing Likud functionaries seem like dwarfs in comparison to tremendous Bibi. The coalition partners are a depressing lot of small factions, whose leaders recognize that they have no chance towards Bibi. The,opposition” is pitiful, at greatest.

The associations of democracy, whose obligation it is to protect the democratic device from fitting a dictatorship, are being destroyed, one after the different, whereas the hundreds shout encouragement. The Supreme court docket, the attorney universal, the State Comptroller, the Police Chief – those that don’t surrender are crushed.

The corruption circumstances in opposition t each Binyamin and Sarah Netanyahu, which may be wound up within a month, drag on for years, with out a end in sight.

On probably the most important front – the Arab – Netanyahu’s luck has reached fabulous heights.

The Arab world has always been disunited. but in the past it became a hidden disunity. the shortcoming of coordination between Egypt, Jordan and Syria enabled us to acquire the 1948 warfare.

Now the disunity has turn into start and extreme. something is happening that during the past was however a dream: Saudi Arabia nearly openly cooperates with Netanyahu in the combat towards Iran, and so does Egypt.

Two weeks in the past, on Black Monday, unarmed Palestinians in Gaza have been slaughtered wholesale. Yet no longer in a single Arab nation did stormy demonstrations break out. no longer even in the West bank. Nor in East Jerusalem. best a tiny Arab demonstration in Haifa, by which a policeman broke the leg of a shackled demonstrator after his arrest.

The total world witnessed the homely connection: the victory get together of Netanyahu on the new US embassy in Jerusalem, while thousands have been wounded or killed on the Gaza border. And just a couple of hours later – the mass outbreak of joy in Tel Aviv’s important rectangular over the victory of an Israeli songstress at the Eurovision contest.

the area saw and remained silent. The international reaction to the massacre in Gaza become even under the commonplace hypocritical minimal prescribed for such occasions. The only severe reaction got here from the Turkish ruler and changed into buried under a heap of derision in Israel.

all the way through Israel’s 70 years of existence, its governments have pretended to long for peace with the Arab world, and before that the Zionist management did the identical. considering the Oslo contract, the government also pretended to seek peace with the Palestinian people, whose very existence it denied until then.

all over Netanyahu’s reign even this pretense has evaporated. firstly, Bibi uttered a few phrases which have been construed as advocating the two-state answer. they’ve been forgotten lengthy in the past. Now even the hypocrisy has been swept away. No extra peace presents, no,painful concessions”, no nothing. total ignoring of the Saudi Peace Plan lengthy forgotten,

Why? essential: there is not any opportunity of peace without the introduction of a Palestinian state. this kind of peace necessitates the giving up of elements of the.”Land of Israel”. Netanyahu knows this smartly. He doesn’t dream of doing so.

Does this harm him in the national enviornment? On the opposite. Does this hurt him in the international area? now not in any respect. possibly the contrary is right. The additional the possibilities of peace circulate away, the better his recognition rises.

a leader with such luck, who will get up to him? Which flesh presser, which journalist, which billionaire? everyone flatters him. every person wants to serve him. All except a number of idealists and different idiots.

what will happen when the totally lucky gambler begins to lose, in spite of everything?

history is crammed with heroes who had legendary luck. Who conquered countries and continents, until the bitter day arrived. Napoleon, as an instance. Or his German successor, whose identify had stronger no longer be mentioned during this context.

a person who is simply too a success will inevitably develop into a megalomaniac. Their mental equilibrium might be upset.

they are going to go one kilometer too a ways and fall into the abyss.

And when they fall, they’ll hold the total nation with them.

perhaps Netanyahu’s good fortune will proceed for a while. most likely he’ll still have more and more successes. unless it stops.

where will Netanyahu circulate on from the dizzy height of his successes?

wisdom would say: he should still now alternate the chips he has received, which lie earlier than him on the table, the desk of the country, and offer the Palestinians and the whole Arab world a generous peace, which might assure Israel peace for generations to return. it’s at all times shrewd for a country to make peace while it is on the top of its electricity.

however Netanyahu isn’t intelligent enough to accomplish that. he will continue on his latest route.

possibly he can be in a position to restrain himself and never lead us right into a war with Iran – a warfare which can be lost via each side. it will be a destructive, a catastrophic warfare. perhaps Bibi is clever satisfactory to steer clear of this entice. except the crook investigations in opposition t him come too close to trial and his future becomes too endangered. warfare is at all times the last refuge of a nationalist ruler.

Even devoid of battle, Bibi’s path is leading against an apartheid state. There is simply no other possibility. The.”Jewish Nation-State” from the Mediterranean Sea to the wilderness, with an Arab majority so as to inexorably develop, except the balance of power in the state turns, the foreign situation changes, and the willpower of the herrenvolk weakens.

That has happened in history time and again, and in order to turn up to us. The Jewish State will develop into a bi-national state, with a shrinking Jewish minority, on account that Jews will now not need to reside in such a rustic.

When? In fifty years? In a hundred years? at the conclusion of the amazing Zionist chapter, the Jews will once more disperse throughout the realm.

I don’t like to be a prophet of doom. My heart aches once I see the masses captivated by using his charisma and following him to perdition.

It jogs my memory of the record of the Pied Piper.

In Hamelin, a small town in Germany, there become an endemic of rats. In despair, the burghers summoned a fashionable rat-catcher and promised him a generous reward.

The rat-catcher took his flute and commenced to play. The melody became so sweet that all of the rats got here out of their holes and adopted him. The Pied Piper led them into the river, the place the entire rats perished.

Having removed the rats, the burghers refused to pay the agreed fee.

So the Pied Piper took up his flute again and commenced to play. The melody became so candy that all the infants of the city left their buildings and adopted him. He led them into the river, the place all of them drowned.

Bibi Netanyahu, the Pied Piper. frightening.

Uri Avnery is a peace activist, journalist, writer, and former member of the Israeli Knesset. read different articles with the aid of Uri, or visit Uri’s website.

examine more by means of Uri Avnery

Uri Avnery is a longtime Israeli peace activist. seeing that 1948 he has endorsed the institution of a Palestinian state alongside Israel. In 1974, Uri Avnery was the first Israeli to set up contact with the PLO leadership. In 1982 he turned into the first Israeli ever to meet Yasser Arafat, after crossing the traces in besieged Beirut. He served three terms within the Israeli Knesset and is the founding father of Gush Shalom Peace Bloc. visit his net site. View all posts with the aid of Uri Avnery